$1,258,412 for 5 Hours of Your Time (see 1% Treaty)
Historical examples show that petitions with support from over 1% of the population have a high likelihood of being adopted.
So all you have to do is convince a small fraction of your friends to sign this treaty and convince them to convince a small fraction of their friends to sign this treaty and so on.
Number of Friends: The average number of significant relationships one might actively maintain, often cited as Dunbar's number, is around 150.
Method of Communication: Personal messages or emails are considered for this estimation, assuming they strike a balance between personal touch and efficiency.
Time Per Friend: It's estimated that drafting and sending a personal message or email would take approximately 2 minutes per friend. This includes the time to write the message and possibly tailor it slightly for each friend.
Given the average number of friends (150) and the estimated time per friend (2 minutes), the total time investment can be calculated as follows:
Total Time = Number of Friends × Time per Friend
= 150 friends × 2 minutes/friend
= 300 minutes
Converting this into hours:
Total Time in Hours = Total Time in Minutes / 60
= 300 minutes / 60
= 5 hours
Based on this estimation, an average person would need to invest approximately 5 hours to individually reach out to all 150 of their friends via personal messages or emails about the treaty. This calculation assumes a brief but personalized communication method, emphasizing the importance of each conversation in promoting global initiatives.